Well, they did it. After a strong outing by Luke Hudson, closer Joe Nelson gave up a game-tying home run to Joe Mauer and the Twins finished off the Royals in the 10th inning, handing them their 100th loss of the season.
After a promising run of great baseball in late August and early September, the Royals have basically crashed over the last two weeks. We here at Breaking 100 were very optimistic that they would avoid the century mark based on the way they were playing. But a combination of injuries (Ryan Shealy’s mysterious hives being the most hurtful) and poor play conspired to hand the Royals their third straight 100-loss season.
Royals fans can take heart though… We still remain optimistic that Dayton Moore will turn the team around.
Lets go get 'em... next year!
Friday, September 29, 2006
Game 159 - 9/28/2006
Royals 1, Twins 2
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 59-100
Expected Record 59-100
Runs Scored 729
Runs Allowed 950
Projected Record 61-101
Pythagorean Record 60-102
Pythagorean Winning% 0.37
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 59-100
Expected Record 59-100
Runs Scored 729
Runs Allowed 950
Projected Record 61-101
Pythagorean Record 60-102
Pythagorean Winning% 0.37
Let's go get 'em
Game 158 - 9/27/2006
Royals 6, Twins 4
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 59-99
Expected Record 59-99
Runs Scored 728
Runs Allowed 948
Projected Record 61-101
Pythagorean Record 60-102
Pythagorean Winning% 0.37
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 59-99
Expected Record 59-99
Runs Scored 728
Runs Allowed 948
Projected Record 61-101
Pythagorean Record 60-102
Pythagorean Winning% 0.37
Let's go get 'em
Game 157 - 9/26/2006
Royals 2, Twins 3
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 58-99
Expected Record 58-99
Runs Scored 722
Runs Allowed 944
Projected Record 60-102
Pythagorean Record 60-102
Pythagorean Winning% 0.369
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 58-99
Expected Record 58-99
Runs Scored 722
Runs Allowed 944
Projected Record 60-102
Pythagorean Record 60-102
Pythagorean Winning% 0.369
Let's go get 'em
Tuesday, September 26, 2006
Breaking 100: What Happened???
A week ago, I would have bet the farm that the Royals would avoid 100 losses. Since then however, the Royals have lost 7 straight and need only 2 more losses to hit 100. They have three games left against the Twins and then three at Detroit. Both teams are headed for the post season.
Game 156 - 9/25/2006
Royals 1, Twins 8
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 58-98
Expected Record 58-98
Runs Scored 720
Runs Allowed 941
Projected Record 61-101
Pythagorean Record 60-102
Pythagorean Winning% 0.369
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 58-98
Expected Record 58-98
Runs Scored 720
Runs Allowed 941
Projected Record 61-101
Pythagorean Record 60-102
Pythagorean Winning% 0.369
Let's go get 'em
Monday, September 25, 2006
Game 155 - 9/24/2006
Tigers 11, Royals 4
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 58-97
Expected Record 58-97
Runs Scored 719
Runs Allowed 933
Projected Record 61-101
Pythagorean Record 61-101
Pythagorean Winning% 0.372
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 58-97
Expected Record 58-97
Runs Scored 719
Runs Allowed 933
Projected Record 61-101
Pythagorean Record 61-101
Pythagorean Winning% 0.372
Let's go get 'em
Game 154 - 9/23/2006
Tigers 15, Royals 4
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 58-96
Expected Record 58-96
Runs Scored 715
Runs Allowed 922
Projected Record 62-100
Pythagorean Record 61-101
Pythagorean Winning% 0.375
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 58-96
Expected Record 58-96
Runs Scored 715
Runs Allowed 922
Projected Record 62-100
Pythagorean Record 61-101
Pythagorean Winning% 0.375
Let's go get 'em
Game 153 - 9/22/2006
Tigers 7, Royals 3
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 58-95
Expected Record 59-94
Runs Scored 711
Runs Allowed 907
Projected Record 62-100
Pythagorean Record 62-100
Pythagorean Winning% 0.38
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 58-95
Expected Record 59-94
Runs Scored 711
Runs Allowed 907
Projected Record 62-100
Pythagorean Record 62-100
Pythagorean Winning% 0.38
Let's go get 'em
Game 152 - 9/20/2006
Angels 3, Royals 0
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 58-94
Expected Record 59-93
Runs Scored 708
Runs Allowed 900
Projected Record 62-100
Pythagorean Record 62-100
Pythagorean Winning% 0.382
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 58-94
Expected Record 59-93
Runs Scored 708
Runs Allowed 900
Projected Record 62-100
Pythagorean Record 62-100
Pythagorean Winning% 0.382
Let's go get 'em
Game 151 - 9/19/2006
Angels 5, Royals 2
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 58-93
Expected Record 58-93
Runs Scored 708
Runs Allowed 897
Projected Record 63-99
Pythagorean Record 63-99
Pythagorean Winning% 0.383
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 58-93
Expected Record 58-93
Runs Scored 708
Runs Allowed 897
Projected Record 63-99
Pythagorean Record 63-99
Pythagorean Winning% 0.383
Let's go get 'em
Sunday, September 17, 2006
Game 150 - 9/17/2006
Mariners 10, Royals 5
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 58-92
Expected Record 58-92
Runs Scored 706
Runs Allowed 892
Projected Record 63-99
Pythagorean Record 63-99
Pythagorean Winning% 0.385
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 58-92
Expected Record 58-92
Runs Scored 706
Runs Allowed 892
Projected Record 63-99
Pythagorean Record 63-99
Pythagorean Winning% 0.385
Let's go get 'em
Game 148- 9/16/2006
Mariners 4, Royals 7
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 58-91
Expected Record 58-91
Runs Scored 701
Runs Allowed 882
Projected Record 64-98
Pythagorean Record 63-99
Pythagorean Winning% 0.387
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 58-91
Expected Record 58-91
Runs Scored 701
Runs Allowed 882
Projected Record 64-98
Pythagorean Record 63-99
Pythagorean Winning% 0.387
Let's go get 'em
Game 149 - 9/15/2006
Mariners 11, Royals 8
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 57-91
Expected Record 57-91
Runs Scored 694
Runs Allowed 878
Projected Record 63-99
Pythagorean Record 63-99
Pythagorean Winning% 0.384
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 57-91
Expected Record 57-91
Runs Scored 694
Runs Allowed 878
Projected Record 63-99
Pythagorean Record 63-99
Pythagorean Winning% 0.384
Let's go get 'em
Game 147 - 9/14/2006
Mariners 8, Royals 10
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 57-90
Expected Record 57-90
Runs Scored 686
Runs Allowed 867
Projected Record 63-99
Pythagorean Record 63-99
Pythagorean Winning% 0.385
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 57-90
Expected Record 57-90
Runs Scored 686
Runs Allowed 867
Projected Record 63-99
Pythagorean Record 63-99
Pythagorean Winning% 0.385
Let's go get 'em
Thursday, September 14, 2006
Game 146 - 9/13/2006
Royals 6, Indians 2
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 56-90
Expected Record 56-90
Runs Scored 676
Runs Allowed 859
Projected Record 63-99
Pythagorean Record 62-100
Pythagorean Winning% 0.382
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 56-90
Expected Record 56-90
Runs Scored 676
Runs Allowed 859
Projected Record 63-99
Pythagorean Record 62-100
Pythagorean Winning% 0.382
Let's go get 'em
Game 145 - 9/12/2006
Royals 5, Indians 3
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 55-90
Expected Record 55-90
Runs Scored 670
Runs Allowed 857
Projected Record 62-100
Pythagorean Record 62-100
Pythagorean Winning% 0.379
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 55-90
Expected Record 55-90
Runs Scored 670
Runs Allowed 857
Projected Record 62-100
Pythagorean Record 62-100
Pythagorean Winning% 0.379
Let's go get 'em
Monday, September 11, 2006
Game 144 - 9/10/2006
Royals 3, Red Sox 9
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 54-90
Expected Record 55-89
Runs Scored 665
Runs Allowed 854
Projected Record 61-101
Pythagorean Record 62-100
Pythagorean Winning% 0.377
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 54-90
Expected Record 55-89
Runs Scored 665
Runs Allowed 854
Projected Record 61-101
Pythagorean Record 62-100
Pythagorean Winning% 0.377
Let's go get 'em
Game 143 - 9/9/2006
Royals 10, Red Sox 4
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 54-89
Expected Record 55-88
Runs Scored 662
Runs Allowed 845
Projected Record 62-100
Pythagorean Record 62-100
Pythagorean Winning% 0.38
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 54-89
Expected Record 55-88
Runs Scored 662
Runs Allowed 845
Projected Record 62-100
Pythagorean Record 62-100
Pythagorean Winning% 0.38
Let's go get 'em
Game 142 - 9/8/2006
Royals 10, Red Sox 9
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 53-89
Expected Record 54-88
Runs Scored 652
Runs Allowed 841
Projected Record 61-101
Pythagorean Record 61-101
Pythagorean Winning% 0.375
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 53-89
Expected Record 54-88
Runs Scored 652
Runs Allowed 841
Projected Record 61-101
Pythagorean Record 61-101
Pythagorean Winning% 0.375
Let's go get 'em
Friday, September 08, 2006
Breaking 100: Winding Down
The season is quickly winding down. The Royals still have a chance to avoid 100 losses, but must play .500 ball to do so.
The encouraging thing is that the Royals are actually playing pretty well lately. And there are some young players who fans can look forward to seeing in the next year or two.
Mark Teahen’s emergence as an All-Star caliber hitter has been a refreshing surprise. Teahen’s season is over, as he is having surgery on his shoulder today. The injury has bothered him all season, and he decided to have the surgery now to ensure he will be ready when Spring Training starts. (see Dan Fox’s article on Teahen at Baseball Prospectus.)
Ryan Shealy is looking like he can fill the first base spot well. With Alex Gordon and Billy Butler knocking on the door, next year’s lineup should be light years ahead of this year’s.
Perhaps next season’s line up will look something like this:
• 1B Shealy
• 2B Grudz
• SS Berroa (or somebody new?)
• 3B Gordon
• LF Teahen (he’s athletic enough to move to the outfield)
• CF DeJesus (Sorry Gathright, but you’ve disappointed here)
• RF Sanders (or somebody new?)
• DH Sweeney/Butler
The only question is still pitching. Dayton Moore seems to be trying to address pitching based on the moves he’s made since taking over in June.
So as football gets started (my son’s team, the Jets, play their first game tomorrow), we Royals fans can root the team on to 11 wins and look forward to a much better season in 2007.
As Cubs fans always say, “there’s always next year.”
Let’s go get ‘em.
The encouraging thing is that the Royals are actually playing pretty well lately. And there are some young players who fans can look forward to seeing in the next year or two.
Mark Teahen’s emergence as an All-Star caliber hitter has been a refreshing surprise. Teahen’s season is over, as he is having surgery on his shoulder today. The injury has bothered him all season, and he decided to have the surgery now to ensure he will be ready when Spring Training starts. (see Dan Fox’s article on Teahen at Baseball Prospectus.)
Ryan Shealy is looking like he can fill the first base spot well. With Alex Gordon and Billy Butler knocking on the door, next year’s lineup should be light years ahead of this year’s.
Perhaps next season’s line up will look something like this:
• 1B Shealy
• 2B Grudz
• SS Berroa (or somebody new?)
• 3B Gordon
• LF Teahen (he’s athletic enough to move to the outfield)
• CF DeJesus (Sorry Gathright, but you’ve disappointed here)
• RF Sanders (or somebody new?)
• DH Sweeney/Butler
The only question is still pitching. Dayton Moore seems to be trying to address pitching based on the moves he’s made since taking over in June.
So as football gets started (my son’s team, the Jets, play their first game tomorrow), we Royals fans can root the team on to 11 wins and look forward to a much better season in 2007.
As Cubs fans always say, “there’s always next year.”
Let’s go get ‘em.
Game 141 - 9/6/2006
Yankees 8, Royals 3
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 52-89
Expected Record 53-88
Runs Scored 642
Runs Allowed 832
Projected Record 60-102
Pythagorean Record 61-101
Pythagorean Winning% 0.373
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 52-89
Expected Record 53-88
Runs Scored 642
Runs Allowed 832
Projected Record 60-102
Pythagorean Record 61-101
Pythagorean Winning% 0.373
Let's go get 'em
Game 140 - 9/5/2006
Yankees 0, Royals 5
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 52-88
Expected Record 53-87
Runs Scored 639
Runs Allowed 824
Projected Record 61-101
Pythagorean Record 61-101
Pythagorean Winning% 0.375
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 52-88
Expected Record 53-87
Runs Scored 639
Runs Allowed 824
Projected Record 61-101
Pythagorean Record 61-101
Pythagorean Winning% 0.375
Let's go get 'em
Game 139 - 9/4/2006
Yankees 12, Royals 5
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 51-88
Expected Record 52-87
Runs Scored 634
Runs Allowed 824
Projected Record 60-102
Pythagorean Record 61-101
Pythagorean Winning% 0.371
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 51-88
Expected Record 52-87
Runs Scored 634
Runs Allowed 824
Projected Record 60-102
Pythagorean Record 61-101
Pythagorean Winning% 0.371
Let's go get 'em
Game 138 - 9/3/2006
White Sox 3, Royals 7
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 51-87
Expected Record 52-86
Runs Scored 629
Runs Allowed 812
Projected Record 60-102
Pythagorean Record 61-101
Pythagorean Winning% 0.375
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 51-87
Expected Record 52-86
Runs Scored 629
Runs Allowed 812
Projected Record 60-102
Pythagorean Record 61-101
Pythagorean Winning% 0.375
Let's go get 'em
Game 137 - 9/2/2006
White Sox 5, Royals 3
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 50-87
Expected Record 51-86
Runs Scored 622
Runs Allowed 809
Projected Record 60-102
Pythagorean Record 61-101
Pythagorean Winning% 0.371
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 50-87
Expected Record 51-86
Runs Scored 622
Runs Allowed 809
Projected Record 60-102
Pythagorean Record 61-101
Pythagorean Winning% 0.371
Let's go get 'em
Game 136 - 9/1/2006
White Sox 5, Royals 7
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 50-86
Expected Record 51-85
Runs Scored 619
Runs Allowed 804
Projected Record 60-102
Pythagorean Record 61-101
Pythagorean Winning% 0.372
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 50-86
Expected Record 51-85
Runs Scored 619
Runs Allowed 804
Projected Record 60-102
Pythagorean Record 61-101
Pythagorean Winning% 0.372
Let's go get 'em
Game 135 - 8/31/2006
Royals 1, Twins 3
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 49-86
Expected Record 50-85
Runs Scored 612
Runs Allowed 799
Projected Record 59-103
Pythagorean Record 60-102
Pythagorean Winning% 0.369
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 49-86
Expected Record 50-85
Runs Scored 612
Runs Allowed 799
Projected Record 59-103
Pythagorean Record 60-102
Pythagorean Winning% 0.369
Let's go get 'em
Game 134 - 8/30/2006
Royals 4, Twins 3
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 49-85
Expected Record 50-84
Runs Scored 611
Runs Allowed 796
Projected Record 60-102
Pythagorean Record 60-102
Pythagorean Winning% 0.37
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 49-85
Expected Record 50-84
Runs Scored 611
Runs Allowed 796
Projected Record 60-102
Pythagorean Record 60-102
Pythagorean Winning% 0.37
Let's go get 'em
Game 133 - 8/29/2006
Royals 2, Twins 0
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 48-85
Expected Record 50-83
Runs Scored 607
Runs Allowed 793
Projected Record 59-103
Pythagorean Record 60-102
Pythagorean Winning% 0.369
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 48-85
Expected Record 50-83
Runs Scored 607
Runs Allowed 793
Projected Record 59-103
Pythagorean Record 60-102
Pythagorean Winning% 0.369
Let's go get 'em
Game 132 - 8/27/2006
Royals 6, Blue Jays 10
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 47-85
Expected Record 49-83
Runs Scored 605
Runs Allowed 793
Projected Record 58-104
Pythagorean Record 60-102
Pythagorean Winning% 0.367
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 47-85
Expected Record 49-83
Runs Scored 605
Runs Allowed 793
Projected Record 58-104
Pythagorean Record 60-102
Pythagorean Winning% 0.367
Let's go get 'em
Game 131 - 8/26/2006
Royals 2, Blue Jays 0
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 47-84
Expected Record 49-82
Runs Scored 599
Runs Allowed 783
Projected Record 59-103
Pythagorean Record 60-102
Pythagorean Winning% 0.369
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 47-84
Expected Record 49-82
Runs Scored 599
Runs Allowed 783
Projected Record 59-103
Pythagorean Record 60-102
Pythagorean Winning% 0.369
Let's go get 'em
Game 130 - 8/25/2006
Royals 3, Blue Jays 6
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 46-84
Expected Record 48-82
Runs Scored 597
Runs Allowed 783
Projected Record 58-104
Pythagorean Record 60-102
Pythagorean Winning% 0.367
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 46-84
Expected Record 48-82
Runs Scored 597
Runs Allowed 783
Projected Record 58-104
Pythagorean Record 60-102
Pythagorean Winning% 0.367
Let's go get 'em
Game 129 - 8/24/2006
Indians 8, Royals 4
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 46-83
Expected Record 48-81
Runs Scored 594
Runs Allowed 777
Projected Record 58-104
Pythagorean Record 60-102
Pythagorean Winning% 0.368
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 46-83
Expected Record 48-81
Runs Scored 594
Runs Allowed 777
Projected Record 58-104
Pythagorean Record 60-102
Pythagorean Winning% 0.368
Let's go get 'em
Game 128 - 8/23/2006
Indians 15, Royals 13
Happy Birthday, Harry!
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 46-82
Expected Record 48-80
Runs Scored 590
Runs Allowed 769
Projected Record 59-103
Pythagorean Record 60-102
Pythagorean Winning% 0.37
Let's go get 'em
Happy Birthday, Harry!
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 46-82
Expected Record 48-80
Runs Scored 590
Runs Allowed 769
Projected Record 59-103
Pythagorean Record 60-102
Pythagorean Winning% 0.37
Let's go get 'em
Game 127 - 8/22/2006
Indians 2, Royals 5
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 46-81
Expected Record 47-80
Runs Scored 577
Runs Allowed 754
Projected Record 59-103
Pythagorean Record 60-102
Pythagorean Winning% 0.369
Let's go get 'em
The Bell Curve
Actual Record 46-81
Expected Record 47-80
Runs Scored 577
Runs Allowed 754
Projected Record 59-103
Pythagorean Record 60-102
Pythagorean Winning% 0.369
Let's go get 'em
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