Breaking 100: Dotel for... Who???

So, Dayton Moore finally pulled the plug on the Dotel trade. I think it's fair to say that Royals fans were hoping for a little more sparkle in this trade. The Royals acquired Kyle Davies from the Braves for Dotel.

Yes, the Royals need starting pitching. But Davies hardly inspires confidence. First, no Royals fans have heard of him, and second, 5.76 ERA this year is hardly exciting.

Could it be that Dayton took this trade as a quid pro quo type of deal? After all, the Braves got next to nothing for Tony Pena, Jr. earlier this season. So, this is the reciprication: the Royals get next to nothing for Dotel.

Or, perhaps Moore knows Davies well and we can expect good things. After all, Brain Bannister didn't look like much last summer.

I also saw that the Royals announced that Soria will become the closer with Dotel gone. I just hope Soria won't end up injured this year. He's been used too much this season, IMHO.

And why can't we win at the Metrodome????

Game 105 - 7/30/2007

Royals 1, Twins 3

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 47-58
Expected Record 50-55
Runs Scored 490
Runs Allowed 512
Projected Record 73-89
Pythagorean Record 78-84
Pythagorean Winning% 0.478

Let's go get 'em

Game 104 - 7/29/2007

Rangers 0, Royals 10

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 47-57
Expected Record 50-54
Runs Scored 489
Runs Allowed 509
Projected Record 74-88
Pythagorean Record 78-84
Pythagorean Winning% 0.479

Let's go get 'em

Game 103 - 7/28/2007

Rangers 5, Royals 6

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 46-57
Expected Record 48-55
Runs Scored 479
Runs Allowed 509
Projected Record 73-89
Pythagorean Record 76-86
Pythagorean Winning% 0.469

Let's go get 'em

Game 102 - 7/27/2007

Rangers 1, Royals 6

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 45-57
Expected Record 48-54
Runs Scored 473
Runs Allowed 504
Projected Record 72-90
Pythagorean Record 76-86
Pythagorean Winning% 0.468

Let's go get 'em

Game 101 - 7/26/2007

Yankees 0, Royals 7

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 44-57
Expected Record 47-54
Runs Scored 467
Runs Allowed 503
Projected Record 71-91
Pythagorean Record 75-87
Pythagorean Winning% 0.462

Let's go get 'em

Game 100 - 7/25/2007

Yankees 7, Royals 1

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 43-57
Expected Record 46-54
Runs Scored 460
Runs Allowed 503
Projected Record 70-92
Pythagorean Record 74-88
Pythagorean Winning% 0.455

Let's go get 'em

Game 99 - 7/24/2007

Yankees 9, Royals 4

Seriously... Name me one Royals fan who didn't see this coming. Scott Elarton has looked awful all year. And yet, the Royals still put him on the mound last night, only to see him get rocked while not even getting out of the second inning. It was so obvious!

After seeing Perez and Elarton, hopefully the Yankees will will be a put back tonight when they face a real pitcher - Gil Meche. It should be a good one, and we'll be there!

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 43-56
Expected Record 46-53
Runs Scored 459
Runs Allowed 496
Projected Record 71-91
Pythagorean Record 75-87
Pythagorean Winning% 0.461

Let's go get 'em

Game 98 - 7/23/2007

Yankees 9, Royals 2

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 43-55
Expected Record 46-52
Runs Scored 455
Runs Allowed 487
Projected Record 72-90
Pythagorean Record 76-86
Pythagorean Winning% 0.466

Let's go get 'em

Game 97 - 7/22/2007

Royals 5, Tigers 2

The Royals just completed a very difficult road trip against three of the best teams in the American League. They finished the road trip 5-4. They also tied the White Sox for fourth place in the AL Central. As you compare the Royals and White Sox, you have to feel good that it is the White Sox, not the Royals, who will end up at the bottom this year. The Royals have a run differential of only 25 runs. The White Sox' current run differential is 82 runs. That's a strong indication that the Royals are a better team than the White Sox.

Bring on the Yanks!

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 43-54
Expected Record 46-51
Runs Scored 453
Runs Allowed 478
Projected Record 72-90
Pythagorean Record 77-85
Pythagorean Winning% 0.473

Let's go get 'em

Game 96 - 7/21/2007

Royals 8, Tigers 10

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 42-54
Expected Record 45-51
Runs Scored 448
Runs Allowed 476
Projected Record 71-91
Pythagorean Record 76-86
Pythagorean Winning% 0.469

Let's go get 'em

Game 95 - 7/20/2007

Royals 10, Tigers 2

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 42-53
Expected Record 45-50
Runs Scored 440
Runs Allowed 466
Projected Record 72-90
Pythagorean Record 77-85
Pythagorean Winning% 0.471

Let's go get 'em

Game 94 - 7/18/2007

Royals 6, Red Sox 5

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 41-53
Expected Record 43-51
Runs Scored 430
Runs Allowed 464
Projected Record 71-91
Pythagorean Record 75-87
Pythagorean Winning% 0.462

Let's go get 'em

Breaking 100: Keeping Pace

The Royals are on pace to win a whopping 74 games this year, based on the pythagorean formula. That is a 12 game improvement over last season, and any Royals fan would gladly accept that.

It would take a collosal collapse to hit 100 losses (which is still very possible) but as we head into the dog days of August, things look good for the Royals.

They still need to figure out that rotation. The Royals have too many "spot starters" working here lately. Hopefully the rotation is something that Dayton Moore will address this off season.

Game 93 - 7/17/2007

Royals 9, Red Sox 3

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 40-53
Expected Record 43-50
Runs Scored 424
Runs Allowed 459
Projected Record 70-92
Pythagorean Record 75-87
Pythagorean Winning% 0.46

Let's go get 'em

Game 92 - 7/16/2007

Royals 0, Red Sox 4

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 39-53
Expected Record 42-50
Runs Scored 415
Runs Allowed 456
Projected Record 69-93
Pythagorean Record 74-88
Pythagorean Winning% 0.453

Let's go get 'em

Game 91 - 7/15/2007

Royals 3, Indians 5

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 39-52
Expected Record 42-49
Runs Scored 415
Runs Allowed 452
Projected Record 70-92
Pythagorean Record 75-87
Pythagorean Winning% 0.457

Let's go get 'em

Game 90 - 7/14/2007

Royals 6, Indians 5

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 39-51
Expected Record 41-49
Runs Scored 412
Runs Allowed 447
Projected Record 71-91
Pythagorean Record 75-87
Pythagorean Winning% 0.459

Let's go get 'em

Game 89 - 7/13/2007

Royals 4, Indians 5

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 38-51
Expected Record 41-48
Runs Scored 406
Runs Allowed 442
Projected Record 70-92
Pythagorean Record 75-87
Pythagorean Winning% 0.457

Let's go get 'em

Game 88 - 7/8/2007

Devil Rays 4, Royals 12

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 38-50
Expected Record 40-48
Runs Scored 402
Runs Allowed 437
Projected Record 70-92
Pythagorean Record 75-87
Pythagorean Winning% 0.458

Let's go get 'em

Game 87 - 7/7/2007

Devil Rays 7, Royals 8

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 37-50
Expected Record 39-48
Runs Scored 390
Runs Allowed 433
Projected Record 69-93
Pythagorean Record 73-89
Pythagorean Winning% 0.447

Let's go get 'em

Game 86 - 7/6/2007

Devil Rays 6, Royals 5

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 36-50
Expected Record 38-48
Runs Scored 382
Runs Allowed 426
Projected Record 68-94
Pythagorean Record 73-89
Pythagorean Winning% 0.445

Let's go get 'em

Game 85 - 7/4/2007

Mariners 4, Royals 0

Dang, Brian Bannister pitched a helluva game - AFTER the first inning. Unfortunately, Seattle's Jared Washburn also pitched a helluva game, but he did it from the get go. The Mariners were able to get 4 runs in the top of the first, and that was it.

To make things even more frustrating, the fireworks show fizzled. Ah well... The Royals still continue to show improvement, which is nice.

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 36-49
Expected Record 38-47
Runs Scored 377
Runs Allowed 420
Projected Record 69-93
Pythagorean Record 73-89
Pythagorean Winning% 0.446

Let's go get 'em

Game 84 - 7/3/2007

Mariners 3, Royals 17

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 36-48
Expected Record 38-46
Runs Scored 377
Runs Allowed 416
Projected Record 70-92
Pythagorean Record 73-89
Pythagorean Winning% 0.45

Let's go get 'em

Game 83 - 7/2/2007

Mariners 2, Royals 3

We are officially past the halfway point of the season, and the Royals are on track to break 100. Their poor start is unfortunate, since they have played so well over the past month or so. The biggest impact right now seems to be the bullpen (shock!).

Questions to ponder for the second half:

• Will the Royals leave Grienke in the 'pen?
• Will Grienke go back to the rotation?
• Will Grienke become the close?
• If so, what happens to Dotel?
• Will the Royals ever settle on a first baseman?
• What will they do with all the DH's when Sweeney returns?
• Is Moore pondering any big trades?
• Is Moore pondering a managerial change?
• Will Alex Gordon continue to mash?

It will be fun to watch!!!

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 35-48
Expected Record 36-47
Runs Scored 360
Runs Allowed 413
Projected Record 69-93
Pythagorean Record 70-92
Pythagorean Winning% 0.431

Let's go get 'em

Game 82 - 7/1/2007

White Sox 3, Royals 1

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 34-48
Expected Record 35-47
Runs Scored 357
Runs Allowed 411
Projected Record 68-94
Pythagorean Record 70-92
Pythagorean Winning% 0.43

Let's go get 'em

Game 81 - 6/30/2007

White Sox 3, Royals 1

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 34-47
Expected Record 35-46
Runs Scored 356
Runs Allowed 408
Projected Record 68-94
Pythagorean Record 70-92
Pythagorean Winning% 0.432

Let's go get 'em

Game 80 - 6/29/2007

White Sox 1, Royals 8

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 34-46
Expected Record 35-45
Runs Scored 355
Runs Allowed 405
Projected Record 69-93
Pythagorean Record 71-91
Pythagorean Winning% 0.434

Let's go get 'em

Game 79 - 6/27/2007

Royals 1, Angels 0

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 33-46
Expected Record 33-46
Runs Scored 347
Runs Allowed 404
Projected Record 68-94
Pythagorean Record 69-93
Pythagorean Winning% 0.424

Let's go get 'em