Game 53 - 5/29/2007

Orioles 6, Royals 2

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 19-34
Expected Record 18-35
Runs Scored 211
Runs Allowed 288
Projected Record 59-103
Pythagorean Record 57-105
Pythagorean Winning% 0.349

Let's go get 'em

Game 52 - 5/28/2007

Orioles 9, Royals 1

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 19-33
Expected Record 18-34
Runs Scored 209
Runs Allowed 282
Projected Record 60-102
Pythagorean Record 58-104
Pythagorean Winning% 0.354

Let's go get 'em

Game 51 - 5/27/2007

Mariners 7, Royals 4

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 19-32
Expected Record 19-32
Runs Scored 208
Runs Allowed 273
Projected Record 61-101
Pythagorean Record 60-102
Pythagorean Winning% 0.367

Let's go get 'em

Game 50 - 5/26/2007

Mariners 9, Royals 1

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 19-31
Expected Record 19-31
Runs Scored 204
Runs Allowed 266
Projected Record 62-100
Pythagorean Record 60-102
Pythagorean Winning% 0.37

Let's go get 'em

Game 49 - 5/25/2007

Mariners 10, Royals 2

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 19-30
Expected Record 19-30
Runs Scored 203
Runs Allowed 257
Projected Record 63-99
Pythagorean Record 63-99
Pythagorean Winning% 0.384

Let's go get 'em

Game 48 - 5/24/2007

Indians 10, Royals 3

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 19-29
Expected Record 19-29
Runs Scored 201
Runs Allowed 247
Projected Record 65-97
Pythagorean Record 65-97
Pythagorean Winning% 0.398

Let's go get 'em

Game 47 - 5/23/2007

Indians 7, Royals 11

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 19-28
Expected Record 19-28
Runs Scored 198
Runs Allowed 237
Projected Record 66-96
Pythagorean Record 67-95
Pythagorean Winning% 0.411

Let's go get 'em

Game 46 - 5/22/2007

Indians 3, Royals 4

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 18-28
Expected Record 18-28
Runs Scored 187
Runs Allowed 230
Projected Record 64-98
Pythagorean Record 65-97
Pythagorean Winning% 0.397

Let's go get 'em

Game 45 - 5/20/2007

Royals 10, Rockies 5

Wow! What a great road trip for the Royals. Could this be the beginning of the great turnaround?

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 17-28
Expected Record 18-27
Runs Scored 183
Runs Allowed 227
Projected Record 62-100
Pythagorean Record 64-98
Pythagorean Winning% 0.393

Let's go get 'em

Game 44 - 5/19/2007

Royals 4, Rockies 6

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 16-28
Expected Record 17-27
Runs Scored 173
Runs Allowed 222
Projected Record 59-103
Pythagorean Record 62-100
Pythagorean Winning% 0.377

Let's go get 'em

Game 43 - 5/18/2007

Royals 5, Rockies 2

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 16-27
Expected Record 16-27
Runs Scored 169
Runs Allowed 216
Projected Record 61-101
Pythagorean Record 62-100
Pythagorean Winning% 0.379

Let's go get 'em

Breaking 100: An Improving Team

You may have noticed the Breaking 100 Trend (which is a season projection based on the last 15 games) has turned into a green up arrow. Consider these facts from today's Kansas City Star:

• The Royals are 4-1 since Sunday this week.
• The Royals have outscored their opponents 28-14 this week.
• The Royals won 27% of their total victories this week (four of 15).
• It's been 35 weeks since the Royals last won four games in a week.
• It's been 85 weeks since the Royals last won a four game series.
  

Hopefully this isn't just a result of playing the A's, but rather the result of some improvement on the part of the Royals. Certainly the pitching has been adequate, and now the offense is beginning to show signs of improvement. It will be fun to watch what happens at Coors Field this weekend.

Game 42 - 5/17/2007

Royals 7, A's 4

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 15-27
Expected Record 15-27
Runs Scored 164
Runs Allowed 214
Projected Record 58-104
Pythagorean Record 60-102
Pythagorean Winning% 0.369

Let's go get 'em

Game 41 - 5/16/2007

Royals 4, A's 3

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 14-27
Expected Record 15-26
Runs Scored 157
Runs Allowed 210
Projected Record 56-106
Pythagorean Record 58-104
Pythagorean Winning% 0.358

Let's go get 'em

Game 40 - 5/15/2007

Royals 4, A's 5

Sorry for the delays in keeping this thing updated. Work has become very busy and the Royals, frankly, haven't been very interesting.

We are now 40 games into the season. Earier in the year, Dayton Moore had said that he wouldn't make any judgements on any players until 40 games. A couple of things are pretty clear to me at this point:

Alex Gordon needs to go to Omaha. He still looks lost at the plate. Give him some time at AAA to get his stroke back, then call him back up. This is probably doing more damage than good right now.

Buddy Bell needs to be fired. I'm so tired of these inexplicible moves. Billy Butler was brought up to "play every day," and "spark our offense." He's been on the bench for a week. I'm sick of seeing players play out of position. We have catchers playing third, third basemen playing short and first, and infielders playing outfield. This all seemed to start back in the Tony Pena days when Desi Relaford was playing left field. I'm sure it's not helping the young players like Butler and Gordon to have to deal with changing positions while they try to learn to hit in the big leagues.

To make things worse, Bell does not know how to use his players. In last night's game - a close game in the late innings that the Royals tied in the ninth, we somehow ended up with our best hitter (John Buck) on the bench. Of all the players to sub out, he picks Buck? Buck is the only hitter in the lineup who is hitting the ball hard. And with two right handed hitters on the bench, Bell left the struggling, left handed hitter Gordon in the game to face a nasty lefty sidearm pitcher. It makes no sense at all.

It is frustrating to see the Royals players stuggle. Let's face it, we have some talent, but not as much talent as most other teams. But the stupid managerial moves are turning an 85 loss team into a 100 loss team. Bell's gotta go.

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 13-27
Expected Record 14-26
Runs Scored 153
Runs Allowed 207
Projected Record 53-109
Pythagorean Record 58-104
Pythagorean Winning% 0.353

Let's go get 'em

Game 39 - 5/14/2007

Royals 2, A's 1

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 13-26
Expected Record 14-25
Runs Scored 149
Runs Allowed 202
Projected Record 54-108
Pythagorean Record 58-104
Pythagorean Winning% 0.352

Let's go get 'em

Game 38 - 5/13/2007

Royals 11, White Sox 1

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 12-26
Expected Record 13-25
Runs Scored 147
Runs Allowed 201
Projected Record 52-110
Pythagorean Record 57-105
Pythagorean Winning% 0.348

Let's go get 'em

Game 37 - 5/12/2007

Royals 4, White Sox 5

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 11-26
Expected Record 12-25
Runs Scored 136
Runs Allowed 200
Projected Record 49-113
Pythagorean Record 52-110
Pythagorean Winning% 0.316

Let's go get 'em

Game 36 - 5/11/2007

Royals 1, White Sox 2

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 11-25
Expected Record 11-25
Runs Scored 132
Runs Allowed 195
Projected Record 50-112
Pythagorean Record 51-111
Pythagorean Winning% 0.314

Let's go get 'em

Game 35 - 5/10/2007

A's 17, Royals 3

Oh boy. Has anybody else noticed how terribly the Royals play on get-away days? Sheesh!

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 11-24
Expected Record 11-24
Runs Scored 131
Runs Allowed 193
Projected Record 51-111
Pythagorean Record 52-110
Pythagorean Winning% 0.315

Let's go get 'em

Game 34 - 5/9/2007

A's 2, Royals 3

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 11-23
Expected Record 12-22
Runs Scored 128
Runs Allowed 176
Projected Record 53-109
Pythagorean Record 56-106
Pythagorean Winning% 0.345

Let's go get 'em

Game 33 - 5/8/2007

A's 6, Royals 1

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 10-23
Expected Record 11-22
Runs Scored 125
Runs Allowed 174
Projected Record 50-112
Pythagorean Record 56-106
Pythagorean Winning% 0.34

Let's go get 'em

Game 32 - 5/6/2007

Tigers 13, Royals 4

How in the world did they get that game in with all the rain???

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 10-22
Expected Record 11-21
Runs Scored 124
Runs Allowed 168
Projected Record 51-111
Pythagorean Record 58-104
Pythagorean Winning% 0.352

Let's go get 'em

Game 31 - 5/5/2007

Tigers 7, Royals 5

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 10-21
Expected Record 12-19
Runs Scored 120
Runs Allowed 155
Projected Record 53-109
Pythagorean Record 61-101
Pythagorean Winning% 0.374

Let's go get 'em

Game 30 - 5/4/2007

Tigers 6, Royals 3

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 10-20
Expected Record 11-19
Runs Scored 115
Runs Allowed 148
Projected Record 54-108
Pythagorean Record 61-101
Pythagorean Winning% 0.376

Let's go get 'em

Game 29 - 5/3/2007

Angels 2, Royals 5

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 10-19
Expected Record 11-18
Runs Scored 112
Runs Allowed 142
Projected Record 56-106
Pythagorean Record 63-99
Pythagorean Winning% 0.383

Let's go get 'em

Game 28 - 5/2/2007

Angels 3, Royals 1

The highlight of the game? Me snagging a foul ball off the bat of Mark Teahen (off the bounce) as we huddled under the overhang down the third base line to get out of the rain. Oh, and German's three run homer to win it. That was good too.

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 9-19
Expected Record 10-18
Runs Scored 107
Runs Allowed 140
Projected Record 53-109
Pythagorean Record 60-102
Pythagorean Winning% 0.368

Let's go get 'em

Game 27 - 5/1/2007

Angels 7, Royals 5

If it's not one thing, it's another. The starting pitching for the Royals has been much better this season. In fact, the starters have been very encouraging, but the Royals have suffered with terrible offense.

To spark plug the offense, the Royals called up Billy Butler from AAA Omaha. Butler represents the Royals' best hitting prospect in years. He is a line drive hitter with power - a true RBI type hitter. He lived up to expectations in his debut, going 2-4.

But, in true Royals fashion, the starting pitching struggled. Zack Greinke gave up three singles followed by a grand slam, putting the Royals in a 4-0 hole before the first out had been recorded.

If the rain holds off today, we will be there to witness Butler's second day in the big leagues.

You will notice that the Breaking 100 trend has turned to green. Based on the Royals' last 15 games, they are projected to finish 66-96, breaking the 100 lost barrier.


The Bell Curve
Actual Record 8-19
Expected Record 10-17
Runs Scored 104
Runs Allowed 139
Projected Record 48-114
Pythagorean Record 58-104
Pythagorean Winning% 0.358

Let's go get 'em

Game 26 - 4/30/2007

Angels 3, Royals 1

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 8-18
Expected Record 9-17
Runs Scored 99
Runs Allowed 132
Projected Record 50-112
Pythagorean Record 59-103
Pythagorean Winning% 0.36

Let's go get 'em