Monday, July 31, 2006

Breaking 100: Trending Up

You might wonder why we have a green up arrow when the projections still have the Royals losing 104 games.

The Trend is meant to represent a snippet of how the Royals are currently playing. It is calculated the same way as the other projections, but just using the last 15 games.

Currently, using just the last 15 games to calculate the numbers, the Royals are projected to go 85-77. In other words, if they played their entire season like they've played the last 15 games, they'd be a .524 team.

This snippet shows how the Royals have improved recently. Adjusting the formula to use all games since June 8, the day Dayton Moore took over, the Royals still are playing .524; showing some consistency. So for almost 2 months, the Royals have played well enough to be a respectable baseball team.

Unfortunately, their historically terrible start this season will doom them to another 100 loss season. But the outlook is good for a more competitive team in the future.

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