Friday, April 18, 2008

Game 16 - 4/17/2008

Royals 3, Angels 5

I'm happy that the Royals are off to a good start. Even if they don't contend, as long as they continue to hover around .500 for most of the year, I will be extremely happy as this would mark a huge improvement over the past few years.

That said, there are some things that are starting to irk me about the 2008 Royals. First, and most obviously, is the offense. Most of the lineup is doing fine, but Jose Guillen is really awful so far. I'm getting so tired of seeing him come up with runners in scoring position only to pop out or hit into a double play. I'm making no judgements here, but all I've seen from him is warning track power. What's missing now that he can't seem to get the ball out of the park anymore???

I know Hillman likes to run, and aggressiveness is his calling card, but let's not get stupid here. Last night, the Royals were down 3-2 with runners at first and third and Buck batting. All the sudden, Alex Gordon tries to steal second and is thrown out by a country mile for the third out of the inning. It totally killed their chance of tying the game and destroyed any momemtum they had at the time. Why, why, why??? In past games, I've seen guys get thrown out trying to steal third. Why??? I believe the out is MUCH more detrimental than the advantage of having that extra base. Chill it out a little bit Trey. Let the hitters do their job.

(In Trey's defense, the hitters aren't doing their job very well.)

Bale was put on the DL. After getting knocked around a couple of games, I guess he finally decided he's hurt. I love the top 3 of the rotation, but I hope the bottom two get replaced soon, and perhaps this trip to the DL is the first manuver in that direction.

The Royals travel to Oakland tonight. Should be fun to see Emil Brown get caught in a rundown.

The Hill Climb
Actual Record 9-7
Expected Record 9-7
Runs Scored 55
Runs Allowed 51
Projected Record 92-70
Pythagorean Record 87-75
Pythagorean Winning% 0.537

Let's go get 'em

Thursday, April 17, 2008

Game 15 - 4/16/2008

Royals 3, Angels 2

I don't know about you, but I couldn't shake the feeling that Gil Meche was pitching
just on the edge of giving up a ton of runs. It seemed like every inning, he gave up a hard hit ball, but was able to get out of the jam.

Things looked good offensively in the first inning, but Weaver buckled down and actually pitched pretty well after the second. Fortunately, the Royals got all they needed before that.

And big time kudos to the bullpen for holding onto the lead and letting Gil notch his first win. All in all, a decent night for the Royals.



The Hill Climb
Actual Record 9-6
Expected Record 8-7
Runs Scored 52
Runs Allowed 46
Projected Record 98-64
Pythagorean Record 91-71
Pythagorean Winning% 0.56

Let's go get 'em

Wednesday, April 16, 2008

Run Spreads... What do they mean?

I was checking out the standings today, and I noticed that the Royals have scored only 5 more runs than they've allowed (49 to 44).

Contrast that to the first place Chicago White Sox who have scored a whopping 75 runs and have give up 52. That's a nice 23 run difference.

Here's a surprise: The Boston Red Sox have scored 66 runs, but they've also allowed 66 runs. Yet, they are 9-6 and are in first place.

Talk about an ugly start. The Tigers have scored 50 runs, but have given up (get this) 92 runs. That is by far the most allow so far this year (The Pirates are next at 80 runs allowed).

The Diamondbacks lead all of baseball in runs scored with 89.

I'm not sure what all this means this early in the season, but it is kinda interesting to look at.

Game 14 - 4/15/2008

Royals 6, Mariners 11

This one was ugly. You always know that there will be games where your pitching staff just gets rocked, and this was one of those games.

Hopefully, Gil will get on track tonight in Anaheim.

The Hill Climb
Actual Record 8-6
Expected Record 8-6
Runs Scored 49
Runs Allowed 44
Projected Record 93-69
Pythagorean Record 90-72
Pythagorean Winning% 0.553

Let's go get 'em

Tuesday, April 15, 2008

Game 13 - 4/14/2008

Royals 5, Mariners 1

This is odd. In back-to-back games, the Royals had a 107-pitch, complete game performance by their starting pitcher, and the Royals won both games 5-1.

UPDATE:I was wrong. Banny threw 111 pitches on Sunday. My bad.


Something special is happening this April.



The Hill Climb
Actual Record 8-5
Expected Record 8-5
Runs Scored 43
Runs Allowed 33
Projected Record 100-62
Pythagorean Record 102-60
Pythagorean Winning% 0.629

Let's go get 'em

Sunday, April 13, 2008

Game 12 - 4/13/2008

Twins 1, Royals 5

BANTASTIC!!!

Brian Bannister continues to amaze. He pitched a complete game today, throwing 110 pitches. He only gave up one unearned run in the first inning, after Jose Guillen's error in right field.

Bannister kept the Twins batters off balance, and put the ball in play keeping his defense in the game on another cold, windy day.

Billy Butler also continued his hot streak, hitting in his 12th straight game. Alex Gordon looks much better to start 2008 than he did in 2007. He hit a home run late in the game to add an insurance run. Not that Bannister needed it.



The Hill Climb
Actual Record 7-5
Expected Record 7-5
Runs Scored 38
Runs Allowed 32
Projected Record 95-67
Pythagorean Record 95-67
Pythagorean Winning% 0.585

Let's go get 'em

Game 11 - 4/12/2008

Twins 2, Royals 0

26 consecutive scoreless innings for the Royals. Tomko pictched well, but the bats just couldn't get going in the freezing cold. We even saw a little snow late in the game.



The Hill Climb
Actual Record 6-5
Expected Record 6-5
Runs Scored 33
Runs Allowed 31
Projected Record 89-73
Pythagorean Record 87-75
Pythagorean Winning% 0.531

Let's go get 'em

Saturday, April 12, 2008

Brrrrrrrrrrrrr.........

It's noon, and in 6 hours we will be at the ballpark for tonight's Royals/Twins game. The main reason for going tonight, of course, is to see the Royals debut the new powder blue jerseys. More importantly, the Royals are giving away Billy Butler powder blue jerseys to the first 20,000 fans tonight.

As I sit in my kitchen looking out the window, I see large snowflakes falling down. In April.

Next week, the weather is supposed to break and we should see some sunny skies and temperatures in the 70s and 80s. For now though... this stinks!

Friday, April 11, 2008

Game 10 - 4/11/2008

Twins 5, Royals 0

Damn. Just when I was bragging about how the Royals haven't been shut out, this happens. I didn't see how the Twins score their runs, but I guess it doesn't matter. Let's just chalk this one up to a slow start by Meche, and that he'll improve as the weather does.

I watched the last two innings on TV. Holy moly, it looked cold out there.

Oh, and it's nice to hear that Guillen's suspension will not happen. Although, I'm starting to think the break could have done him some good. He's looked downright awful to start the season.

The Hill Climb
Actual Record 6-4
Expected Record 6-4
Runs Scored 33
Runs Allowed 29
Projected Record 98-64
Pythagorean Record 92-70
Pythagorean Winning% 0.564

Let's go get 'em

Game 9 - 4/10/2008

Yankees 6, Royals 1

The Yankees avoided the sweep on another miserable night at the "K." John Bale still hasn't impressed me much, but I guess somebody needs to be the number 5 starter. If Bale can just eat up some innings until mid-season, then hopefully Hovechar will be ready to come up and fill that slot.

I've heard a lot of people complaining about Pena's bat. When the Royals got him from the Braves last year, they knew they were not getting an offensive player. They needed a good glove man after years of suffering through Angel.

Pena will be fine as long as he continues to make the plays in the field. Let him be. There will come a day when the Royals will have a more offensive short stop ready, but that time has not come yet.

The weather is going to suck again tonight for the series opener with the Twins, and they are even talking about snow tomorrow for game two. I'll be going tomorrow to get my powder blue Butler jersey, but we may not stay for much of the game.

But, just hold on for a few more days. Next week's forecast calls for sunny and 70-80 degrees all week long. The end is near, Mr. Winter!

The Hill Climb
Actual Record 6-3
Expected Record 6-3
Runs Scored 33
Runs Allowed 24
Projected Record 108-54
Pythagorean Record 106-56
Pythagorean Winning% 0.654

Let's go get 'em

Thursday, April 10, 2008

Game 8 - 4/9/2008

Yankees 0, Royals 4

Was at the game with my son last night. It was my first peek at the new "K," and let me just say this - that scoreboard is awesome!

It's so big, it almost takes away from the game, but the wealth of information it provides is incredible. And the picture is so clear - I saw more than I wanted of the girl singing the National Anthem (don't tongue piercings hurt???)

Grienke was awesome, even in the crappy weather. It rained steadily from the second inning on, and the infield was pretty muddy. And it was cold with a pretty stiff wind coming in from right field.

Yankees manager Joe Girardi made a strange decision to scratch starter Ian Kennedy just before game time. I guess he was expecting a rain delay, so he started his bullpen, and planned to go with Kennedy after the delay.

The delay never came, so the Royals faced an assortment of Yankees pitchers. Kennedy finally entered the game in the sixth and finished it out. He came in trailing 2-0 and gave up 2 more runs in the sixth. I'm sure Girardi knows what he's doing, but that seemed like a dumb thing to do. Just sayin'.

There was no offense until John Buck took Farnsworth deep in the 5th. He crushed that ball just left of the scoreboard, into the water. I think it was measured at 429 feet. It was a shot.

That homer seemed to loosen everybody up, and the Royals finally started getting some action after that, eventually putting up 4 runs between the 5th and 6th.

Grienke pitched 8 innings, giving up 6 hits and 2 walks with 2 strike outs. His ERA is now a *sick* 0.60.

I know, it's still early, but how can you not feel good about this team? It's all working right now. Great pitching, timely hitting, effective base running, and stellar defense (except, I think Hillman needs to let his outfielders take a few steps back.)

Here's a nice nugget: the Royals have shut out both the Tigers and the Yankees, but haven't been shut out yet. The Royals have faced two of the top three payroll lineups in baseball and have shut both of them out. The Tigers have been shut out twice.

How 'bout little sweep action tonight, eh?



The Hill Climb
Actual Record 6-2
Expected Record 6-2
Runs Scored 32
Runs Allowed 18
Projected Record 122-40
Pythagorean Record 123-39
Pythagorean Winning% 0.759

Let's go get 'em

Wednesday, April 09, 2008

Thoughts on 2008, So Far

It's still early in the season, but there are a couple of interesting story lines developing.


The Tigers Suck! Okay, maybe suck isn't the right word, but can you believe the start they are off to? What is the over/under for losses before their first win? Could they be the first team in history to make the post season after starting 0-7? That would be a story. As a Royals fan, I hope they continue just they way they are.

Eric Gagne Sucks! Seriously. Gagne's days of being the most dominant closer in baseball are long gone. It looks like injuries and age have taken their toll on Gagne. I've always like Gagne, so I hope he can pull it together, but so far I'm not liking what I've seen.

The Cardinals don't suck! I have a couple of friends who are Cards fans, and all of them predicted doom and gloom this season. So far, the Cards are 6-2 and don't look like the laughing stock that everybody predicted.

Banny is smart! It's been well documented that Royals' pitcher Brian Bannister is a brainy dude. Check out Joe Posnanski's blog for some analysis on how he struggled against the Yankees, but got the win.

That scoreboard is huge! Kauffman Stadium now features an unreal, almost grotesque scoreboard as part of the ongoing stadium renovations. I've only seen pictures, but I will be at the "K" tonight to take it all in. I hope I will be able to take my eyes off the scoreboard long enough to watch Zack Grienke beat the Yanks.

Thanks Eric... Hill Climb it is

Since Buddy Bell so graciously left the organization (thanks Buddy!), we needed a new name for the "Bell Curve Update."

Thanks to commenter Eric for his suggestion of "Hill Climb."

That says it all. Hillman's the manager, and these young Royals are climbing to the top of baseball world.

Thanks Eric!

Tuesday, April 08, 2008

Game 7 - 4/8/2008

Yankees 2, Royals 5

The Royals won their home opener on a cold, crappy day. Unfortunately, winter in KC is refusing to leave, even as we reach mid-April.

I thought Bannister pitched pretty well today, after really struggling in the second inning. He settled down and pitched well the rest of the way. It wasn't the dominating performance he had last week in Detroit, but it was a gritty performance against one of the best lineups in baseball on a miserable day.

I love the offense. The Royals are making things happen on the base paths, and are getting timely hitting. I love the slap hits combined with the gappers, especially at the "K."

Interesting trend to watch: The Royals are 5-0 in day games, 0-2 in night games.



The Bell Curve
Actual Record 5-2
Expected Record 5-2
Runs Scored 28
Runs Allowed 18
Projected Record 116-46
Pythagorean Record 115-47
Pythagorean Winning% 0.707

Let's go get 'em

Game 6 - 4/6/2008

Royals 3, Twins 1

Starting the season 4-2 on the road is not a bad thing. I really like the way this team is playing. They are getting good pitching and defense, and are able to get timely hits. It's nothing spectacular, but if they keep it up, they will win more than they lose.

Pray for the rain to hold off Tuesday.

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 4-2
Expected Record 4-2
Runs Scored 23
Runs Allowed 16
Projected Record 108-54
Pythagorean Record 110-52
Pythagorean Winning% 0.673

Let's go get 'em

Game 5 - 4/5/2008

Royals 4, Twins 6

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 3-2
Expected Record 3-2
Runs Scored 20
Runs Allowed 15
Projected Record 98-64
Pythagorean Record 104-58
Pythagorean Winning% 0.64

Let's go get 'em

Game 4 - 4/4/2008

Royals 3, Twins 4

There goes the perfect season. Hey, we all knew they'd lose one eventually. The nice thing about this is that it doesn't have that flukey feel that the crazy start of 2003 had.

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 3-1
Expected Record 3-1
Runs Scored 16
Runs Allowed 9
Projected Record 122-40
Pythagorean Record 123-39
Pythagorean Winning% 0.759

Let's go get 'em

Friday, April 04, 2008

Game 3 - 4/3/2008

Royals 4, Tigers 1

Take a look at the standings, folks. Your Royals are all alone atop the American League Central and, are the only undefeated team in the bigs.

Of couse, we have what the stat guys like to call a small sample. But, what the hell. I'll take it. I love the pitching so far. Let's hope that Bale can keep that streak alive.

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 3-0
Expected Record 3-0
Runs Scored 13
Runs Allowed 5
Projected Record 162-0
Pythagorean Record 142-20
Pythagorean Winning% 0.871

Let's go get 'em

Wednesday, April 02, 2008

Game 2 - 4/2/2008

Royals 4, Tigers 0

Are you kidding me? I mean, seriously. We all knew Bannister had talent, and we heard all winter about how smart the guy is and how he loves to analyze baseball statistics as much as the geekiest of geeks.

But then to go out and hold the mighty Tigers to 2 hits, no runs, and no walks over 7 innings? Getting four strikeouts along the way???

This is better than any Royals fan could have dreamed of.

I was flying into Philly then driving to Reading, PA today, so I didn't get a chance to watch or hear the game, but reading the box score now is very impressive. It's only 2 games, but something feels special here...

The Bell Curve
Actual Record 2-0
Expected Record 2-0
Runs Scored 9
Runs Allowed 4
Projected Record 162-0
Pythagorean Record 136-26
Pythagorean Winning% 0.835

Let's go get 'em

Tuesday, April 01, 2008

A New Day for the Royals

There is hope.

For so long, we Royals fans had optimism, but deep down, we knew there was no hope. Every off-season would come, and some big name free agents would dominate the news stories, but we Royals fans knew that we weren’t even close to competing for those players.

But, as Bob Dutton writes in the Star’s Baseball Preview* section, things are different now.

*I know, I’m stealing the Pozterisk from Joe Posnanski, but I did want to take a moment here to point out how outstanding the Kansas City Star’s sport section is. Not only do we get to enjoy the best columnist in the country (Poz), but we also have the pleasure of reading another prominent columnist (Jason Whitlock), and a great up and coming sports writing (Sam Mellinger). Remember some of the other names that came through Kansas City on their way to bigger and better things? Jeff Passan, Wright Thompson, Jason King. The Star’s sports editor, Mike Fannin, is the best in the business. Read more about KC’s fabulous sports journalists here.

This past off-season, the Royals made a play for big time free agent Torii Hunter. Now, I can remember sitting at the “K” last summer with my brother discussing how wonderful it would be to see Hunter in center field for the Royals. At the time, we both believed that there was no chance the Royals would be able to compete for Hunter’s services. That’s just how it is with the Royals. No chance.

Over the winter, we heard Dayton Moore say that the Royals were trying to sign Hunter as well as Andrew Jones, and they did manage to land Jose Guillen. But the scars run deep in Royals fans. We knew that this was just lip service.

But, as Dutton writes, the Royals were in on Hunter. And, according to Dutton, were very, very close to signing the deal. The Angels weren’t even in the picture until the very last minute when the swooped in and grabbed Hunter. But, the Royals were very close to handing Hunter $80 million.

This tells me a couple of things. First, Dayton Moore is serious about improving this team. Second, the Glass family has given Dayton their full approval. They are staying out of the way, and writing the checks when necessary.

This is a huge change in philosophy for the Royals, and one that bodes very well for Royals fans over the next few years.

This is going to get fun.