Thursday, April 13, 2006

Game 7 - 4/12/2006

Yankees 12, Royals 5

Ugh... This pitching rotation is in shambles. Runelvys Hernandez was projected to be in the rotation. He's in Omaha getting shelled as he tries to lose weight. Mark Redmond was projected to be in the rotation. He's in Wichita trying to rehab his knee. Zack Greinke was projected to be in the rotation. He's in Orlando trying to get his head on straight. Joe Mays was projected to be in the rotation. He is, but he's gotten blasted in his two starts. Jeremy Affeldt was projected to be in the bullpen. He made the rotation because of the injuries, but has gotten killed in his two starts.

The only bright spots on this pitching staff are Denny Bautista, Scott Elarton and Elmer Dessens. Every other pitcher has looked mediocre at best this season.

Royals pitching has given up an average of 7.2 runs per game. The Royals offense has looked okay at times, but they've only managed to score an average of 4.5 runs per game. That defecit not only hurts their actual record, which now stands at 2-5, but it also does not bode well for the future. Their projected record has now dipped to 46-116, based on the Pythagorean Formula.

What can be done to correct this? One postive step might be to actually throw strikes. In the two games against the Yankees, Royals pitchers have walked 17 batters. That's a lot of base runners.

Bautista gets the start Thursday against Randy Johnson. Even though he looked good, giving up just one hit, Bautista also walked five in his first start. He cannot afford to be that wild against the Yankees' lineup. If he throws strikes and doesn't force his offense to crawl from behind, perhaps the Royals can still salvage one in the Big Apple.

The Bell Curve

Actual Record: 2-5
Runs Scored: 32
Runs Allowed: 51
Projected Record: 47-115
Pythagorean Record: 46-116
Pythagorean Winning %: .282

Let's go get 'em.

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